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INVESTIGATING SALMON PRICE VOLATILITY

机译:调查三文鱼价格波动

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摘要

An understanding of the structure of price volatility is of great interest since this is a major contributor to economic risk in the salmon industry. The volatility process in salmon prices was analyzed based on weekly price data from 1995 to 2007. The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model was used to test for volatility clustering and persistence of volatility for prices. We find evidence for and discuss the degree of persistence and reversion in the salmon price volatility. We further find that the usual assumption of an independent zero mean normally distributed error term is not satisfactory when describing the salmon price process.
机译:理解价格波动结构的结构具有很大的利益,因为这是鲑鱼行业经济风险的主要贡献者。基于1995年至2007年的每周价格数据分析了三文鱼价格的波动性过程。广泛的归往条件异质痉挛(GARCH)模型用于测试波动性聚类和持久性的价格。我们发现并讨论了三文鱼价格波动中的持久性和逆转程度。我们进一步发现,在描述三文鱼价格过程时,通常假设独立的零平均分布式错误术语是不令人满意的。

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