首页> 外文会议>International conference of Chinese transportation professionals >Accident Causation Chain Analysis of Ship Collisions Based on Bayesian Networks
【24h】

Accident Causation Chain Analysis of Ship Collisions Based on Bayesian Networks

机译:基于贝叶斯网络的船舶碰撞事故因果关系

获取原文

摘要

A ship collision is one of the most serious maritime accidents. It usually results from a series of factors that are related in complicated manners. Studies indicate that more than 90 percent of maritime accidents are related to human factors. This study started with the analysis of human elements that lead to ship collisions and carried out an investigation of ship collisions based on the theory of Bayesian Networks. Through analyzing sample data of ship collision cases, a Bayesian Network reflecting ship collisions was established. Computing with GeNIe software, the data and network were analyzed, and the most possible causation chain leading to ship collisions was analyzed. With Bayesian Networks, the most possible factors leading to ship collisions can be estimated, which may have significance in the prevention of ship collisions and the research of navigation safety.
机译:船碰撞是最严重的海事事故之一。它通常由一系列以复杂的方式相关的因素产生。研究表明,90%以上的海事事故与人类因素有关。本研究始于对人类元素的分析,导致船舶碰撞,并根据贝叶斯网络理论进行船舶碰撞调查。通过分析船舶碰撞案例的样本数据,建立了一个贝叶斯网络反射船舶碰撞。通过Genie软件计算数据和网络,分析了导致船舶碰撞的最可能导致链。通过贝叶斯网络,可以估计导致船舶碰撞的最可能因素,这可能对防止船舶冲突和导航安全研究具有重要意义。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号