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Terrorism, Transit and Public Safety: Putting Risk Into Perspective - (PPT)

机译:恐怖主义,过境和公共安全:将风险投入透视 - (PPT)

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On an average day nine people die and over 800 are injured in British road accidents. The 2005 London terrorist deaths represent about six days of normal traffic fatalities. The 191 people killed in 2004 by Madrid bombers were equivalent to about 12 days of normal Spanish traffic deaths. During the 25 worst years of sectarian violence in Northern Ireland, twice as many people died there in road accidents as were killed by terrorists. In Israel, the annual road traffic death toll has been two or three times higher than civilian terrorist deaths during the violent years of 2000 - 2003. The 11 September 2001 terrorist attacks killed about the same number of people as a typical month of U.S. traffic accidents. According to official reports, terrorists killed 25 Americans worldwide in 2002, 23 in 2003, and none in 2004, while about 42,000 Americans died in traffic accidents each of these years. Wilson and Thomson (2005) calculated that in 29 OECD countries for which suitable data were available, the annual average death rate from road injuries was approximately 390 times that from international terrorism. In the three months after the 11 September 2001 terrorist attacks, shifts from air to automobile travel caused several hundred additional roadway traffic fatalities (air travel is safer per mile than driving, particularly on rural roads). Had these trends continued for more than a year, the additional deaths would have exceeded the September 11 terrorist deaths. Similarly, there is evidence that London travelers' response to the 7 September 2005 terrorist attack caused a net increase in deaths. Researchers found a significant decrease in subway travel and a corresponding increase in cycle travel around London following the attacks. Compared to the 10 year period prior to the attacks, the second half of 2005 had an estimated 214 more cyclist casualties than would be expected from historical trends.
机译:平均每天九人死亡,超过800在英国的道路交通事故受伤。 2005年伦敦恐怖的死亡约占正常的交通死亡事故的六天。 191人通过马德里轰炸机2004年被杀,相当于大约12天的正常西班牙交通死亡。在25年来最严重的在北爱尔兰教派暴力,两倍多的人就死在那里道路交通事故的被恐怖分子杀害。在以色列,每年道路交通死亡人数一直高于平民的恐怖死亡人数高出两个三倍在剧烈年2000 - 2003年杀害了大约相同数量的人作为美国交通事故的典型一个月的2001年9月11日恐怖袭击事件。据官方报道,恐怖分子在2003杀害25层世界各地的美国人在2002年,23,并没有在2004年,而42000美国人死于交通事故每一年的。威尔逊和Thomson(2005)计算出,是能获得合适的数据29个经合组织国家,道路伤害的年平均死亡率为来自国际恐怖主义的约390倍。在2001年9.11恐怖袭击后的三个月,班次从空气到汽车旅行造成数百额外的道路交通死亡事故(空中旅行是每英里比开车更安全,特别是对农村道路)。假如这些趋势持续了一年多的时间,额外的死亡人数将超过9月11日恐怖死亡。同样,有证据表明,伦敦的旅客到2005年9月7日恐怖袭击的反应引起的死亡人数的净增长。研究人员发现,在地铁出行一个显著下降,在袭击发生在周期旅行相应增加在伦敦。相较于之前的攻击的10年期间,2005年下半年曾估计有214多个骑车人伤亡比会从历史趋势可以预期的。

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