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An Estimation and Factor Decomposition Analysis of Energy-related Carbon Emissions in Beijing

机译:北京能源相关碳排放的估计与因子分解分析

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We calculated energy-related carbon emissions from Beijing's production and household sectors in 1995, 2000, 2005, and 2009 based on the default carbon-emission coefficients provided by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Taking 1995-2000, 2000-2005, and 2005-2009 as the study periods, we decomposed the effects of changes in carbon emissions resulting from 8 causal factors using the method of the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI). These causal factors include: economic activity and population size which reflect the effect of activity change; energy intensity and energy consumption per capita which reflect the effect of intensity change; economic structure, urban and rural population distribution structure, and energy mix of production and household sectors which reflect the effect of structural change. Our results can reflect the reason of carbon emissions changes and provide a solid basis for policy makers to propose emission reduction measures and approaches.
机译:我们根据政府间气候变化(IPCC)提供的默认碳排放系数,从1995年,2000年,2005年和2009年计算了北京生产和家庭部门的能源相关碳排放。以1995-2000,2000-2005和2005-2009为研究时期,我们使用对数平均Divisia指数(LMDI)的方法分解了8个因果因子产生的碳排放变化的影响。这些因果因素包括:经济活动和人口规模,反映了活动变化的影响;人均能量强度和能耗,反映了强度变化的影响;经济结构,城乡人口分布结构,以及生产和家庭部门的能源组合,反映了结构变化的影响。我们的结果可以反映碳排放的原因变动,为决策者提供了坚实的基础,以提出减排措施和方法。

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