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Making Money from What You Know - How to Sell Information?

机译:从你所知道的赚钱 - 如何出售信息?

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Information plays a key role in many decision situations. The rapid advancement in communication technologies makes information providers more accessible, and various information providing platforms can be found nowadays, most of which are strategic in the sense that their goal is to maximize the providers' expected profit. In this paper, we consider the common problem of a strategic information provider offering prospective buyers information which can disambiguate uncertainties the buyers have, which can be valuable for their decision making. Unlike prior work, we do not limit the information provider's strategy to price setting but rather enable her flexibility over the way information is sold, specifically enabling querying about specific outcomes and the elimination of a subset of non-true world states alongside the traditional approach of disclosing the true world state. We prove that for the case where the buyer is self-interested (and the information provider does not know the true world state beforehand) all three methods (i.e., disclosing the true world-state value, offering to check a specific value, and eliminating a random value) are equivalent, yielding the same expected profit to the information provider. For the case where buyers are human subjects, using an extensive set of experiments we show that the methods result in substantially different outcomes. Furthermore, using standard machine learning techniques the information provider can rather accurately predict the performance of the different methods for new problem settings, hence substantially increase profit.
机译:信息在许多决策情况下扮演关键作用。通信技术的快速进步使信息提供商更容易访问,现在可以发现各种信息提供平台,其中大部分是他们的目标是最大化提供商的预期利润的战略。在本文中,我们考虑了提供潜在买家信息的战略信息提供商的常见问题,这些信息可以消除买家的不确定性,这对他们的决策可能是有价值的。与事先工作不同,我们不会将信息提供商的策略限制在价格设置上,而是通过销售信息的销售方式来实现她的灵活性,特别是在传统方法中可以解决特定结果和消除非真实世界州的子集。披露真正的世界州。我们证明,对于买方自私的情况(并且信息提供者事先不知道真正的世界状态)所有三种方法(即,披露真正的世界状态值,提供检查特定值,并消除随机值)是等同的,对信息提供商产生相同的预期利润。对于买家是人类受试者的情况,使用广泛的实验,我们表明该方法产生了显着不同的结果。此外,使用标准机器学习技术信息提供商可以宁愿准确地预测新问题设置不同方法的性能,因此大大增加了利润。

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