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Criterion of Calibration for Transductive Confidence Machine with Limited Feedback

机译:具有有限反馈的转导置信机校准标准

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This paper is concerned with the problem of on-line prediction in the situation where some data is unlabelled and can never be used for prediction, and even when data is labelled, the labels may arrive with a delay. We construct a modification of randomised Transductive Confidence Machine for this case and prove a necessary and sufficient condition for its predictions being calibrated, in the sense that in the long run they are wrong whit a prespecified probability under the assumption that data is generated independently by same distribution. The condition for calibration turns out to be very weak: feedback should be given on more than a logarithmic fraction of steps.
机译:本文涉及某些数据未解压缩的情况下的在线预测问题,并且即使在标记数据时,标签也可以延迟到达。我们构建了对这种情况的随机转换置信机的修改,并证明了其预测的必要和充分条件,从长远来看,它们是错误的假设,所以通过相同独立生成数据的预先限定的概率分配。校准的条件变为非常弱:应给出超过对数步骤的数量的反馈。

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