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Online Traffic Analysis and Forecast

机译:在线交通分析和预测

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Within traffic management systems online traffic flow data from various measurement sites is prepared in order to model a consistent traffic state for the entire road network. Typical sources for online data are detectors of vehicle actuated signal control systems and dedicated autonomous sensors communicating via GSM. Based on the current state of the network, a short term forecast can be computed to estimate the development within the next 15 to 30 minutes. To estimate the current state of the network, an assignment method called path flow estimator is used, and a mesoscopic traffic flow simulation tool is used to compute the forecast. The algorithms for state estimation and forecast must be supplied with information about the infrastructure, i.e. essentially the road network, and information about traffic demand. Traffic demand is provided in the form of origin-destination-matrices constructed from a set of preclassified matrices and matrices representing traffic demand induced by special events. A typical traffic management system is designed in a modular way. Static information about road network and traffic demand is managed by a graphical modelling tool, interfaces to systems providing online data are implemented as independent subsystem converters that transform the data in standardised formats and store them in a data base. The state estimation and forecasting procedures interface to the data base and can be adapted to different technical environments in a flexible way.
机译:在交通管理系统,从各种测量网站的网络流量数据,以一致的交通状态对整个道路网络模型准备。在线数据的典型来源是车辆致动信号控制系统的检测器和专用自主传感器通过GSM进行通信。基于网络的当前状态,一个短期的预测可以被计算,以在接下来的15到30分钟内估算的开发。为了估计网络的当前状态,则使用所谓的路径流估计的分配方法,和介观交通流模拟工具被用来计算预测。状态估计和预测的算法必须提供有关基础设施的信息提供,即基本路网,以及有关交通需求信息。流量需求中从一组preclassified矩阵的构建的起点 - 终点矩阵的形式提供,并且矩阵表示由特殊事件引起的通信量需求。一个典型的交通管理系统被设计成模块化的方式。关于路网和交通需求的静态信息是由一个图形化建模工具进行管理,提供在线数据系统接口实现为变换标准化格式的数据,并存储它们数据的基础上独立的子系统转换器。状态估计和预测程序接口到数据的基础上,可以以灵活的方式来适应于不同的技术环境。

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