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Examination of uncertainty in heat rate determinations

机译:检验热率确定中的不确定性

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Lowering heat rate is a key building block in US EPA's Clean Power Plan (CPP). The estimate for how much heat rate can be reduced under the CPP was determined from a statistical analysis of estimated gross heat rate using Air Markets Program Data (AMPD). Heat input as reported in AMPD is determined from the relationship that exists between exhaust flowrate and heat input that is commonly referred to as "F factor". Another public data source for estimating boiler heat input is plant fuel use data as found in EIA form 923. In this study these two sources of data were compared for several coal fired power plants. In addition, potential sources of variability in these methods are explored, including variability in the relationship between fuel heating value and exhaust gas flowrate, or F factor, and the degree to which it may impact variability in estimated gross heat rate using AMPD.
机译:降低热效率是美国EPA清洁能源计划(CPP)的关键组成部分。在CPP下可以减少多少热量的估算是根据使用航空市场计划数据(AMPD)估算的总热量的统计分析确定的。 AMPD中报告的热量输入是根据排气流量与热量输入之间存在的关系确定的,通常将其称为“ F系数”。估算锅炉热量输入的另一个公共数据源是EIA格式923中发现的工厂燃料使用数据。在本研究中,对多个燃煤电厂的这两个数据源进行了比较。此外,还探讨了这些方法的潜在可变性来源,包括燃料热值与排气流量或F因子之间关系的可变性,以及它可能会影响使用AMPD估算的总热量率的可变性的程度。

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