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Examination of uncertainty in heat rate determinations

机译:测量热速率测定中的不确定性

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Lowering heat rate is a key building block in US EPA's Clean Power Plan (CPP). The estimate for how much heat rate can be reduced under the CPP was determined from a statistical analysis of estimated gross heat rate using Air Markets Program Data (AMPD). Heat input as reported in AMPD is determined from the relationship that exists between exhaust flowrate and heat input that is commonly referred to as "F factor". Another public data source for estimating boiler heat input is plant fuel use data as found in EIA form 923. In this study these two sources of data were compared for several coal fired power plants. In addition, potential sources of variability in these methods are explored, including variability in the relationship between fuel heating value and exhaust gas flowrate, or F factor, and the degree to which it may impact variability in estimated gross heat rate using AMPD.
机译:降低热速率是美国EPA清洁电力计划(CPP)的关键构建块。在CPP下可以减少大量热速率的估计是根据使用空中市场计划数据(AMPD)的估计总热速率的统计分析。如AMPD中报道的热输入由排气流量和热输入之间存在的关系确定,通常称为“F因子”。用于估计锅炉热输入的另一个公共数据源是植物燃料使用数据,如EIA形式923所发现的数据。在这项研究中,将这两个数据来源进行了比较了几种燃煤发电厂。此外,探索这些方法中的潜在可变性来源,包括燃料加热值和废气流量之间的关系的可变性,或者使用AMPD在估计的估计总热量率之间影响变异性的程度。

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