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Evolvability and Upgradability of Fractionated Space System: A Real Options Approach

机译:分数空间系统的可演化性和可升级性:实物期权方法

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Fractionation enables responsive space systems and potentially increased value delivery in life cycle of the space systems in face of various uncertainties such as component failure, vulnerability to external and environmental risks such as meteorite impact and object collision, irregular radiation etc. Fractionation also creates the potential of upgradability of the spacecraft payloads in operational lifecycle by replacing one or more fraction(s). The redesign cost of a fraction and its potential value for the fractionated space system is subject of this paper. In this research, we provide a model to examine the upgradability value associated with different fractionation types. Our approach is based on using the Design Structure Matrix (DSM) and a measure of module complexity. The cost of upgrading a module (or fraction) depends on the redesign effort of the replacement module, and deployment cost. The redesign cost of a module is proportional to the functional complexity of the unit, and the level of fraction's coupling to other fractions in the system. We present a fractionation design decision tool for upgradability and evolvability optimization of space systems. We examine the sensitivity of the model to stakeholders requirements uncertainty and have observed that fractionation (and modularization of general systems) is recommended to be done with extreme caution. In short this paper is an attempt to uncover the simple rules governing Fractionation of the systems to deliver and optimal evolvability value.
机译:面对各种不确定性(例如部件故障,易受外部环境和环境风险(如陨石撞击和物体碰撞,不规则辐射等))的影响,分馏可以实现响应式空间系统,并有可能在空间系统的生命周期中增加价值交付。分馏还创造了潜力替换一个或多个馏分来评估航天器有效载荷在运行生命周期中的可升级性。分数空间系统的分数的重新设计成本及其潜在价值是本文的主题。在这项研究中,我们提供了一个模型来检查与不同分馏类型相关的可升级性值。我们的方法基于使用设计结构矩阵(DSM)和衡量模块复杂性的方法。升级模块(或部分)的成本取决于替换模块的重新设计工作以及部署成本。模块的重新设计成本与单元的功能复杂度以及分数与系统中其他分数的耦合程度成正比。我们提出了一种用于空间系统可升级性和可进化性优化的分级设计决策工具。我们检查了该模型对涉众需求不确定性的敏感性,并观察到建议对分割(和通用系统的模块化)进行谨慎处理。简而言之,本文旨在揭示控制系统分馏的简单规则,以实现最佳交付价值。

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