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The Forever Exponential? Moore's Law: Past, Present and Future

机译:永远的指数?摩尔定律:过去,现在和未来

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Moore's Law has governed the semiconductor industry for over five decades and the resulting technologies have fundamentally changed the world. How has Moore's law evolved historically and what is its future? Gordon Moore himself said that “No exponential is forever,” but innovation has kept it going far longer than many had prognosticated. While the number of components on a chip has increased steadily over this time horizon, the way in which this has been achieved has evolved many times. Bipolar transistors gave way to MOS transistors, planar transistors to FinFETs, aluminum wires to copper wires. What does the future of Moore's Law hold? What innovations will power it over the next decade and beyond? Topics to be discussed include transistor scaling, interconnect scaling and heterogeneous integration.
机译:摩尔定律已经统治了整个半导体行业长达五十年之久,由此产生的技术从根本上改变了世界。摩尔定律在历史上是如何发展的,它的未来是什么?戈登·摩尔本人曾说过:“没有指数永远是永远的”,但是创新使它的发展比许多人预想的要长得多。尽管在这段时间内,芯片上组件的数量稳步增长,但实现这一目标的方式已经发展了许多倍。双极型晶体管让位于MOS晶体管,平面晶体管变为FinFET,铝线变为铜线。摩尔定律的未来将如何发展?在未来十年乃至更长时间内,将有哪些创新为它提供动力?讨论的主题包括晶体管缩放,互连缩放和异构集成。

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