首页> 外文会议>Design automation conference;ASME international design engineering technical conferences and computers and information in engineering conference >OPTIMIZATION UNDER UNCERTAINTY VERSUS ALGEBRAIC HEURISTICS: A RESEARCH METHOD FOR COMPARING COMPUTATIONAL DESIGN METHODS
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OPTIMIZATION UNDER UNCERTAINTY VERSUS ALGEBRAIC HEURISTICS: A RESEARCH METHOD FOR COMPARING COMPUTATIONAL DESIGN METHODS

机译:不确定性与代数启发式条件下的最优化:计算设计方法比较的研究方法

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In this paper, we introduce a research method for comparing computational design methods. This research method addresses the challenge of measuring the difference in performance of different design methods in a way that is fair and unbiased with respect to differences in modeling ion, accuracy and uncertainty representation. The method can be used to identify the conditions under which each design method is most beneficial. To illustrate the research method, we compare two design methods for the design of a pressure vessel: 1) an algebraic approach, based on the ASME pressure vessel code, which accounts for uncertainty implicitly through safety factors, and 2) an optimization-based, expected-utility maximization approach which accounts for uncertainty explicitly. The computational experiments initially show that under some conditions the algebraic heuristic surprisingly outperforms the optimization-based approach. Further analysis reveals that an optimization-based approach does perform best as long as the designer applies good judgment during uncertainty elicitation. An ignorant or overly confident designer is better off using safety factors.
机译:在本文中,我们介绍了一种用于比较计算设计方法的研究方法。该研究方法以公平,公正的方式应对建模方法,准确性和不确定性表示方面的差异,从而解决了衡量不同设计方法性能差异的挑战。该方法可用于确定每种设计方法最有利的条件。为了说明该研究方法,我们比较了两种用于压力容器设计的设计方法:1)基于ASME压力容器代码的代数方法,该方法通过安全系数隐式地解决了不确定性; 2)基于优化的方法,预期效用最大化方法,明确地说明了不确定性。计算实验最初显示,在某些条件下,代数启发式方法的性能出乎意料地优于基于优化的方法。进一步的分析表明,只要设计人员在不确定性确定过程中运用良好的判断力,基于优化的方法就可以发挥最佳性能。一个无知或过分自信的设计师最好使用安全系数。

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