首页> 外文会议>International conference on structural mechanics in reactor technology >Uncertainty Bound due to the PDS Approximation of the Level 1 ET Sequence Cut Sets
【24h】

Uncertainty Bound due to the PDS Approximation of the Level 1 ET Sequence Cut Sets

机译:由于1级序列切割集的PDS近似而导致的不确定性

获取原文

摘要

While a strict PDS operation requires that all the Level 1 ET core damage sequences are assigned to all the relevant PDS categories and that their sum is equal to the total CDF, the current practices of the Level 1 ET/FT combinations causes an inevitable approximation of the total PDS frequency (PDSF) for the total CDF value. The main objective of this paper is to estimate the type of uncertainty bound generated for the total PDSF (or a degree of a PDSF approximation for the CDF) due to a propagation of the Level 1 ET sequence cut sets into the relevant PDSs, consequently leading to a change of the corresponding Level 2 risk metrics (such as containment failure frequencies or large early release frequency). The plant-specific analysis shows that when the cutoff value of 1.0E-11 is applied, the PDS approximation from the Level 1/2-bridge trees may vary the PDSF value from -1.2% to 2.5%, when compared to the corresponding CDF value (i.e., a CDF value estimated from the Level 1 ET/FT models). A detailed investigation shows that the forgoing uncertainty is mainly caused by a mixed impact of a decrease of the PDSF from a truncation limit and its increase from the potential extra cut sets employed in the PDS model when the Level 1 cut sets are propagated into the PDS model (subsequently the other Level 2 models).
机译:虽然严格的PDS操作要求所有级别的1级核心损伤序列被分配给所有相关的PDS类别,并且它们的总和等于总CDF,但第1级ET / FT组合的当前实践导致不可避免的近似总CDF值的PDS频率(PDSF)。本文的主要目的是估计由于级别1 eT序列切割集中进入相关的PDS,因此估计为总PDSF(或CDF的PDSF近似程度)产生的不确定度突起的类型。改变相应的2级风险指标(例如容纳失败频率或大早期释放频率)。工厂特定的分析表明,当施加的1.0E-11的截止值时,PDS从1级/ 2桥树木逼近相比于相应CDF时可以在PDSF值变化为-1.2%〜2.5%,值(即,从1级ET / FT模型估计的CDF值)。详细的研究表明,未成管不确定性主要由PDSF减少从截断限制的混合影响,并且当1级切割集传播到PDS时,从PDS模型中使用的潜在额外切割集的增加模型(随后其他级别2型号)。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号