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An Agent-based Model for Exploring Formation of Housing Prices: Housing Market Laboratory (HoML)

机译:探索房价形成的基于代理的模型:住房市场实验室(HOML)

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Throughout the economies of the world, construction industry plays an important role. A major share of the activities within the industry takes place in the housing market. Since the mid-1990s, increases in housing prices have been frequently observed in a variety of countries. In order to explain the price increases, researchers from a multitude of disciplines have studied the housing markets. However, research output from construction management domain is scarce. This research study presents an agent-based model (ABM) named Housing Market Laboratory (HoML) for the purpose of testing hypotheses related to housing price formations. The model comprises three types of agents representing developers, households, and land owners who trade two commodities simultaneously: land and housing units. Combining rules adapted from standard urban economics with a cellular spatial model, HoML allows agents to interact using bilateral bid and ask prices. While the focus of this research paper is the theoretical underpinnings of the land use and housing models, several experiments are presented in order to demonstrate the use of the model. The results of these experiments suggest that HoML conforms to the behaviors of earlier models. Furthermore, an experiment focusing on developer behavior demonstrate the potential of HoML in exploring differing objectives of agents which trade in housing markets.
机译:在整个世界经济体中,建筑业发挥着重要作用。业内活动的主要份额在房屋市场中进行。自20世纪90年代中期以来,在各种国家的各个国家经常观察到房价的增加。为了解释价格上涨,来自多种学科的研究人员研究了住房市场。但是,施工管理领域的研究输出稀缺。本研究研究提出了一个名为住房市场实验室(HOML)的代理的模型(ABM),目的是测试与住房价格形成相关的假设。该型号包括代表三种类型的代理商,代表同时交易两种商品的开发商,家庭和土地所有者:土地和住房单位。将从标准城市经济学改编的规则与蜂窝空间模型,HOML允许代理商使用双边竞标并询问价格进行互动。虽然本研究论文的重点是土地利用和住房模型的理论支撑,但提出了几个实验,以证明模型的使用。这些实验的结果表明HOML符合早期模型的行为。此外,专注于开发人员行为的实验表明HOML在探索住房市场交易的代理人的不同目标方面的潜力。

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