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An Agent-based Model for Exploring Formation of Housing Prices: Housing Market Laboratory (HoML)

机译:基于代理的住房价格形成模型:住房市场实验室(HoML)

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Throughout the economies of the world, construction industry plays an important role. A major share of the activities within the industry takes place in the housing market. Since the mid-1990s, increases in housing prices have been frequently observed in a variety of countries. In order to explain the price increases, researchers from a multitude of disciplines have studied the housing markets. However, research output from construction management domain is scarce. This research study presents an agent-based model (ABM) named Housing Market Laboratory (HoML) for the purpose of testing hypotheses related to housing price formations. The model comprises three types of agents representing developers, households, and land owners who trade two commodities simultaneously: land and housing units. Combining rules adapted from standard urban economics with a cellular spatial model, HoML allows agents to interact using bilateral bid and ask prices. While the focus of this research paper is the theoretical underpinnings of the land use and housing models, several experiments are presented in order to demonstrate the use of the model. The results of these experiments suggest that HoML conforms to the behaviors of earlier models. Furthermore, an experiment focusing on developer behavior demonstrate the potential of HoML in exploring differing objectives of agents which trade in housing markets.
机译:在整个世界经济中,建筑业都发挥着重要作用。行业内活动的主要份额发生在房地产市场上。自1990年代中期以来,在许多国家中经常观察到房价上涨。为了解释价格上涨,来自多个学科的研究人员对住房市场进行了研究。但是,建设管理领域的研究成果很少。这项研究报告提出了一个名为房屋市场实验室(HoML)的基于主体的模型(ABM),目的是检验与住房价格形成有关的假设。该模型包含三种类型的代理,分别代表开发商,住户和土地所有者,他们同时交易两种商品:土地和住房。结合标准城市经济学的规则和蜂窝空间模型,HoML允许代理商使用双边出价和要价进行交互。尽管本文的重点是土地利用和住房模型的理论基础,但为了说明该模型的使用,我们进行了一些实验。这些实验的结果表明,HoML符合早期模型的行为。此外,一项针对开发商行为的实验证明了HoML在探索住房市场交易代理商的不同目标方面的潜力。

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