A Critical Line Identification Method Based on Probabilistic Load Flow

摘要

It is an important part for the power system operation risk control to identify the critical lines. Fluctuation of wind power and fluctuation of load will have a great influence on power transmission and distribution, which will lead to the change of critical lines. Based on probabilistic load flow (PLF) analysis, the risk theory is introduced to put forward, and probabilistic flow betweenness considering uncertainty of wind power and load is presented for critical line identification, which reflects the influence of power grid structure characteristics, change of system running state and uncertain factors on power transmission. It can identify critical lines more accurately. Simulation calculation on CEPRI-36 bus system integrated with wind farms and IEEE-39 bus system with wind farms verify effectiveness of this method. It is able to search for the critical lines according to system running state in actual application, so as to adopt security control measures for the system.