The Collaboration and Coevolution of Experts System and Simulation System in Agile Modeling and Simulation

摘要

Modeling and simulation technology is widely used to decision making from both practice and theory. The new development of decision making, especially decision-making for emergency event and online decision-making, raise new challenge to modeling and simulation. They require the simulation to be flexible, extensible, adaptable, compos able and strong interaction. However, most of the simulation systems are rigid and difficult to change. In this paper, A new concept of Agile Model and Simulation (AgMS) is proposed to fulfill these requirement. The concept, framework and key issues of agile simulation are proposed with the demand for the decision making of complex systems. A prototype is constructured that integrates four kinds of agility: parameter agility, rule agility, structure agility and resolution agility. Through the introduce of agile simulation into the meta-synthetic system, the experts system and the simulation system are syncretized with each other and become a parallel system, which can be co-evolution. The research of agile simulation will provide new ideas for complex system study, open up new paradigm of simulation application, and promote the widely application of meta-synthetic system.