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METHOD FOR FINANCIAL FORECASTING FOR ASSOCIATIONS USING ACTUARIAL OPEN GROUP SIMULATION

机译:基于开放组模拟的企业财务预测方法

摘要

In a method for financial forecasting for an association having current dues paying members and which will have future new dues paying members, a computer and a computer-readable medium are provided having a program operable with the computer. Association variables to be forecast are defined as desired program outputs and including for each of a plurality of periods at least total dues revenue. A total number of the current members, dues paid by each current member, at least one of actual age or estimated age of each current member, and a future dues predictor variable are input to the program. Using at least the actual or estimated age of each current member, it is projected when each of the current members would have a change in dues paying status or would no longer be a member of the association. Using a defined growth rate characteristic for the association, for each of the periods a number of the new dues paying members is projected which will join the association. For each of the projected new members, at least an age for each of the new members and dues for each of the new members based on the future dues predictor variable are projected. It is also projected when each new member would have a change in dues paying status or would no longer be a member of the association. From the inputs the program calculates the desired outputs for each of the periods.
机译:在用于对具有当前会费会员并且将具有未来新会费会员的协会进行财务预测的方法中,提供了一种计算机和一种计算机可读介质,其具有可与该计算机一起操作的程序。将要预测的关联变量定义为所需的程序输出,并且对于多个期间的每个期间至少包括总会费收入。当前会员总数,每个当前会员支付的会费,每个当前会员的实际年龄或估计年龄中的至少一个以及未来会费预测变量被输入到程序中。至少使用每个当前成员的实际年龄或估计年龄,可以预测每个当前成员的会费缴纳状态发生变化或不再是该协会的成员。使用协会的定义增长率特征,在每个时期中,将计划有许多新的会费会员加入协会。对于每个预计的新成员,将基于未来会费预测变量来预测每个新成员的年龄和每个新成员的会费。还预计每个新成员的会费缴纳状态将发生变化或不再是该协会的成员时。程序从输入中计算出每个周期的期望输出。

著录项

  • 公开/公告号US2010076814A1

    专利类型

  • 公开/公告日2010-03-25

    原文格式PDF

  • 申请/专利权人 KATHLEEN E. MANNING;

    申请/专利号US20080237071

  • 发明设计人 KATHLEEN E. MANNING;

    申请日2008-09-24

  • 分类号G06F17/30;G06Q40/00;

  • 国家 US

  • 入库时间 2022-08-21 18:53:51

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