FINANCIAL FORECASTING SYSTEM, FINANCIAL FORECASTING METHOD, AND FINANCIAL FORECASTING PROGRAM

摘要

PROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To provide a financial forecasting system, a financial forecasting method, and a financial forecasting program that forecast future financial data on the basis of past financial data and perform fixed cost-variable cost breakdown processing of each of expenses against sales.SOLUTION: The financial forecasting system includes: a financial data storage unit for storing past monthly financial data; an analysis model storage unit for storing a time series analysis model; a predicted data storage unit for storing predicted future monthly financial data; an expense analysis data storage unit for storing a correlation coefficient of expenses of a predetermined subject with respect to calculated sales; and a control unit that performs predetermined processing for predicting future financial data and control of the entire system. The control unit selects a time series analysis model that most closely matches the time series change of the monthly financial data using a predetermined evaluation criterion, predicts monthly financial data after the future month by using the selected time series analysis model, and, based on monthly time series data of sales and expenses of predetermined subjects from past monthly financial data, calculates an expense correlation coefficient of a predetermined subject for sales.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 1