METHOD FOR DETERMINING THE CRITICAL CONDITION OF POTENTIALLY seismogenic lithosphere

摘要

1. A method for determining the critical state of the seismogenic potential of the lithosphere, which includes the instrumental monitoring of the forecast parameter within the local area seismically active zone of the lithosphere and its dynamic state estimation based on the results of computer processing of the resulting time series data, characterized in that the monitoring tool predictive parameter is carried out continuously with synchronous data transfer in digital format, in real time, to the server at the center of the collection of information, rapid processing of the data produced on the basis of a combination of the method of analysis of the curvatures of the structural features and the method of sliding window, implemented in the software package, the calculation of the final option - "correlation time (VC) "abrupt abnormal growth which, with respect to long-term background of its values, indicates the development of self-organizing process of discontinuous systems varying in ranks in the test a local volume seismically active zone of the lithosphere and is a direct quantitative measure of its critical predseysmogennogo dynamic state, with the potential for implementation of seismic sobytiya.2. The method according to claim. 1, characterized in that as a measure of the transition of the lithosphere in a seismically active zone predseysmogennoe critical dynamic state using sharp abnormal growth of "correlation time (VC)" with respect to long-term background of its values ​​is not less than three raza.3. The method of claim. 1, characterized in that as the parameter of the seismic data used for monitoring the deformation.