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Electricity generation costs of concentrated solar power technologies in China based on operational plants

机译:基于运营工厂的中国集中式太阳能技术的发电成本

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摘要

Recent years witnessed a sharp increase of CSP (concentrated solar power) plants around the world. CSP is currently at its early stage in China, with several demonstration and utility-scale plants underway. China's rising electricity demand, the severe environmental pollution from coal-fired power plants, and favorable renewable energy policies are expected to result in a large-scale CSP deployment in the next years. Detailed CSP studies for China are however hardly available. To fill this knowledge gap, this study collects plant-specific data in a national CSP database in collaboration with local CSP experts. On this basis, this study analyzes and benchmarks the costs of parabolic trough CSP, tower CSP, and dish CSP technologies in China by applying an LCOE (levelized cost of electricity) model. The current LCOE for the different CSP plants falls in a range of 1.2-2.7 RMB/kWh (0.19-0.43 US$/kWh). Among the three CSP technology variants discussed, our sensitivity analysis indicates that the tower CSP variant might have the greatest potential in China. We expect a future cost reduction potential of more than 50% in 2020 and a high share of local content manufacturing for tower CSP. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:近年来,全世界的CSP(集中太阳能)工厂急剧增加。 CSP目前在中国尚处于初期阶段,一些示范和公用事业规模的工厂正在进行中。中国不断增长的电力需求,燃煤电厂造成的严重环境污染以及有利的可再生能源政策,有望在未来几年内大规模部署CSP。但是,几乎没有针对中国的CSP研究。为了填补这一知识空白,本研究与本地CSP专家合作,在国家CSP数据库中收集了特定于工厂的数据。在此基础上,本研究通过应用LCOE(平均电力成本)模型,对中国的抛物槽式CSP,塔式CSP和碟式CSP技术的成本进行了分析和基准测试。当前用于不同CSP工厂的LCOE范围为1.2-2.7元/千瓦时(0.19-0.43美元/千瓦时)。在讨论的三种CSP技术变体中,我们的灵敏度分析表明,塔式CSP变体在中国可能具有最大的潜力。我们预计,到2020年,未来成本降低的可能性将超过50%,并且塔式CSP的本地内容制造将占据较高的份额。 (C)2015 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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