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Banking sector reforms and the Nigerian economy: performance, pitfalls and future policy options

机译:银行业改革和尼日利亚经济:业绩,陷阱和未来的政策选择

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摘要

This paper reviews the perspective of banking sector reforms since 1970 to date. It notes four eras of banking sector reforms in Nigeria, viz.: Pre-SAP (1970-85), the Post-SAP (1986-93), the Reforms Lethargy (1993-1998), Pre-Soludo (1999-2004) and Post-Soludo (2005-2006). Using both descriptive statistics and econometric methods, three sets of hypothesis were tested: firstly that each phase of reforms culminated in improved incentives; secondly that policy reforms which results in increased capitalization, exchange rate devaluation; interest rate restructuring and abolition of credit rationing may have had positive effects on real sector credit and thirdly that implicit incentives which accompany the reforms had salutary macroeconomic effects. The empirical results confirm that eras of pursuits of market reforms were characterized by improved incentives. However, these did not translate to increased credit purvey to the real sector. Also while growth was stifled in eras of control, the reforms era was associated with rise in inflationary pressures. Among the pitfalls of reforms identified by the study are faulty premise and wrong sequencing of reforms and a host of conflicts emanating from adopted theoretical models for reforms and above all, frequent reversals and/or non-sustainability of reforms. In concluding, the study notes the need to bolster reforms through the deliberate adoption of policies that would ensure convergence of domestic and international rates of return on financial markets investments.
机译:本文回顾了自1970年至今的银行业改革的观点。它指出了尼日利亚银行业改革的四个时代,即:SAP前(1970-85),SAP后(1986-93),改革嗜睡(1993-1998),前索洛多(1999-2004)和Post-Soludo(2005-2006)。使用描述性统计数据和计量经济学方法,检验了三组假设:第一,改革的各个阶段最终导致激励措施的提高;其次,政策改革导致资本增加,汇率贬值;利率调整和取消信贷配给可能对实体部门的信贷产生了积极影响,第三,改革所伴随的隐含激励措施对宏观经济产生了有益的影响。实证结果证实,市场改革的时代特征是激励机制的改善。但是,这些并没有转化为增加对实体部门的信贷供应。同样,尽管在控制时代抑制了增长,但改革时代却伴随着通货膨胀压力的上升。该研究发现的改革陷阱包括:错误的前提和错误的改革顺序,以及从采用的改革理论模型中引发的一系列冲突,最重要的是,频繁的逆转和/或改革的非可持续性。最后,研究报告指出,有必要通过有意采取确保金融市场投资的国内和国际收益率趋同的政策来支持改革。

著录项

  • 作者

    Balogun Emmanuel Dele;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2007
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 {"code":"en","name":"English","id":9}
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