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Time-Varying Degree of Wage Indexation and the New Keynesian Wage Phillips Curve

机译:时变指数与新凯恩斯工资菲利普斯曲线

摘要

Cost-of-Living-Adjustment (COLA) coverage figures suggest a time variation in the degree of wage indexation. In spite of this observation, most current literature conveniently assume a constant degree of indexation as this variable is not directly observable. This study intends to empirically measure the time variation in the degree of wage indexation. To this end, we derive a reduced form version of the New Keynesian Wage Phillips Curve under the assumption of a time varying degree of wage indexation. A state space methodology is then employed in estimating this model using data of selected OECD countries. The study subsequently investigates variables influencing the time variation in the degree of wage indexation. Our results consistently suggest a substantial time variation in the degree of wage indexation in all countries considered. The wage indexation estimates obtained for the US bear remarkable similarities with the figures suggested by COLA coverage. It is subsequently shown that variations in trend inflation significantly explain variations in the degree of wage indexation. Finally, there is weak evidence in support of the Gray hypothesis that wage indexation is negatively correlated with the variance of productivity shocks.
机译:生活成本调整(COLA)覆盖率数据表明工资指数化程度随时间变化。尽管有这种观察,但由于无法直接观察到该变量,因此大多数最新文献都方便地假定索引不变。本研究旨在通过经验衡量工资指数化程度的时间变化。为此,我们假设工资指数随时间变化,推导出新凯恩斯式工资菲利普斯曲线的简化形式。然后,使用状态空间方法来使用经合组织国家的数据来估计该模型。该研究随后调查了影响工资指数化程度随时间变化的变量。我们的结果始终表明,在所有考虑的国家中,工资指数化程度都存在较大的时间差异。美国获得的工资指数估算值与COLA覆盖范围所建议的数字具有显着相似性。随后表明,趋势通胀的变化显着解释了工资指数化程度的变化。最后,有很少的证据支持格雷假说,即工资指数与生产率冲击的变化呈负相关。

著录项

  • 作者

    Attey Jonathan A.;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2016
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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