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Nash equilibrium strategy in the deregulated power industry and comparing its lost welfare with Iran wholesale electricity market

机译:解除管制电力行业的纳什均衡策略,并与伊朗批发电力市场进行比较

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摘要

With the increasing use of different types of auctions in market designing, modeling of participants' behaviors to evaluate the market structure is one of the main discussions in the studies related to the deregulated power industries. In this article, we apply an approach of the optimal bidding behavior to the Iran wholesale electricity market as a restructured electric power industry and model how the participants of the market bid in the spot electricity market. The problem is formulated analytically using the Nash equilibrium concept composed of large numbers of players having discrete and very large strategy spaces. Then, we compute and draw supply curve of the competitive market in which all generators' proposed prices are equal to their marginal costs and supply curve of the real market in which the pricing mechanism is pay-as-bid. We finally calculate the lost welfare or inefficiency of the Nash equilibrium and the real market by comparing their supply curves with the competitive curve. We examine 3 cases on November 24 (2 cases) and July 24 (1 case), 2012. It is observed that in the Nash equilibrium on November 24 and demand of 23,487 MW, there are 212 allowed plants for the first case (plants are allowed to choose any quantity of generation except one of them that should be equal to maximum Power) and the economic efficiency or social welfare of Nash equilibrium is 2.77 times as much as the real market. In addition, there are 184 allowed plants for the second case (plants should offer their maximum power with different prices) and the efficiency or social welfare of Nash equilibrium is 3.6 times as much as the real market. On July 24 and demand of 42,421 MW, all 370 plants should generate maximum energy due to the high electricity demand that the economic efficiency or social welfare of the Nash equilibrium is about 2 times as much as the real market.
机译:随着市场设计中使用不同类型的拍卖的日益增多,对参与者行为进行建模以评估市场结构已成为与放松管制的电力行业有关的研究的主要讨论之一。在本文中,我们将最佳竞标行为的方法应用于重组的电力行业伊朗批发电力市场,并对市场参与者在现货电力市场中的竞标方式进行建模。该问题是使用纳什均衡概念解析地提出的,纳什均衡概念由具有离散和非常大的策略空间的大量参与者组成。然后,我们计算并绘制竞争市场的供给曲线,在该竞争市场中所有发电者的提议价格均等于其边际成本,而在实际市场中,定价机制为按需出价。最后,通过将纳什均衡和真实市场的供给曲线与竞争曲线进行比较,来计算其损失的福利或效率低下。我们在2012年11月24日(2例)和7月24日(1例)检查了3例。观察到,在11月24日的纳什均衡和23487 MW的需求中,第一例有212处允许的工厂(允许选择任何数量的发电量,但其中一个发电量应等于最大功率),纳什均衡的经济效率或社会福利是实际市场的2.77倍。此外,第二种情况下允许有184家工厂(工厂应以不同的价格提供最大的权力),纳什均衡的效率或社会福利是实际市场的3.6倍。 7月24日的需求为42,421 MW,由于电力需求很高,纳什均衡的经济效率或社会福利约为实际市场的2倍,因此所有370座工厂都应产生最大的能源。

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