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Water exchange traded funds: A study on idiosyncratic risk using Markov switching analysis

机译:水交易交易基金:使用马尔可夫转换分析研究特殊风险

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摘要

We investigate the relationship between idiosyncratic risk and return among four water exchange traded funds-PowerShares Water Resources Portfolio, Power Shares Global Water, First Trust ISE Water Index Fund, and Guggenheim S&P Global Water Index ETF using the Markov switching model for the period 2007-2015. The generated transition probabilities in this paper show that there is a high and low probability of switching between Regimes 1 and 3, respectively. Moreover, we find that the idiosyncratic risk for most of the exchange traded funds move from low volatility (Regime 2) to very low volatility (Regime 1 and 3). Our study also identify that the beta coefficients are positive and entire values are less than 1. Thus, it seems that water investment has a lower systematic risk and a positive effect on the water exchange traded index funds returns during different regimes.
机译:我们使用2007年的马尔可夫转换模型,研究了四种水上交易基金(PowerShares水资源投资组合,Power Shares Global Water,First Trust ISE水指数基金和Guggenheim S&P全球水指数ETF)之间的特殊风险与收益之间的关系。 2015年。本文中生成的过渡概率表明,分别在方案1和方案3之间切换的可能性很高和很低。此外,我们发现大多数交易所买卖基金的特质风险从低波动性(第2类)转移到非常低的波动性(第1和3类)。我们的研究还发现,β系数为正,整个值均小于1。因此,在不同的制度下,水投资似乎具有较低的系统风险,并且对水交易指数基金的收益具有积极影响。

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