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An exploratory analysis of the military value of information and force

机译:信息和武力军事价值的探索性分析

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摘要

This thesis addresses the military value of information in conflict. It is composed of three complimentary experiments. The first experiment uses a simple contest to assess how military decision makers perceive and use information. The results of the experiment demonstrate that many military decision makers do not always use information optimally. Equally insightful, most military decision makers significantly overestimate the value of information compared to force advantage. The second experiment is an exploratory analysis of like naval surface forces and explores the value of information versus force advantage in modern naval surface combat using a computational model of naval missile combat. The results of the exploratory analysis of like naval forces suggest that increasing information advantage can enhance but occasionally may degrade a force's effectiveness. In contrast, increasing force advantage in the same conflict always enhances the combat effectiveness of the forces investigated. The third experiment analyzes a more realistic asymmetric scenario. In this case study, American aegis type ships engage more numerous coastal defense type forces. The results show the advantage of numbers even when the aegis type ships have virtually total information.
机译:本文论述了冲突中信息的军事价值。它由三个互补实验组成。第一个实验使用一个简单的竞赛来评估军事决策者如何感知和使用信息。实验结果表明,许多军事决策者并不总是以最佳方式使用信息。同样具有洞察力的大多数军事决策者相比于部队优势,大大高估了信息的价值。第二个实验是对类似海军水面部队的探索性分析,并使用海军导弹作战的计算模型探索了现代海军水面作战中信息对力量优势的价值。对类似海军力量进行探索性分析的结果表明,增加信息优势可以增强力量,但有时可能会降低其效能。相反,在同一冲突中增加兵力优势总是可以提高被调查部队的战斗力。第三个实验分析了更现实的不对称情况。在本案例研究中,美国“宙斯盾”型舰艇参与了更多的海防型部队。结果显示出数字的优势,即使“宙斯盾”型战舰实际上拥有全部信息。

著录项

  • 作者

    McGunnigle John.;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 1999
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 en_US
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