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Some wildfire ignition causes pose more risk of destroying houses than others

机译:一些山火起火原因比其他起火造成的房屋破坏风险更大

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摘要

Many houses are at risk of being destroyed by wildfires. While previous studies have improved our understanding of how, when and why houses are destroyed by wildfires, little attention has been given to how these fires started. We compiled a dataset of wildfires that destroyed houses in New South Wales and Victoria and, by comparing against wildfires where no houses were destroyed, investigated the relationship between the distribution of ignition causes for wildfires that did and did not destroy houses. Powerlines, lightning and deliberate ignitions are the main causes of wildfires that destroyed houses. Powerlines were 6 times more common in the wildfires that destroyed houses data than in the wildfires where no houses were destroyed data and lightning was 2 times more common. For deliberate-and powerline-caused wildfires, temperature, wind speed, and forest fire danger index were all significantly higher and relative humidity significantly lower (P \u3c 0.05) on the day of ignition for wildfires that destroyed houses compared with wildfires where no houses were destroyed. For all powerline-caused wildfires the first house destroyed always occurred on the day of ignition. In contrast, the first house destroyed was after the day of ignition for 78% of lightning-caused wildfires. Lightning-caused wildfires that destroyed houses were significantly larger (P \u3c 0.001) in area than human-caused wildfires that destroyed houses. Our results suggest that targeting fire prevention strategies around ignition causes, such as improving powerline safety and targeted arson reduction programmes, and reducing fire spread may decrease the number of wildfires that destroy houses.
机译:许多房屋有被野火摧毁的危险。尽管先前的研究使我们对野火如何,何时以及为何破坏房屋的理解有所提高,但对于这些火如何开始的关注却很少。我们汇总了新山威尔士和维多利亚州毁坏房屋的野火数据集,并与未毁坏房屋的野火进行了比较,调查了造成和未破坏房屋的野火的点火原因分布之间的关系。电力线,雷电和故意引燃是造成房屋火灾的大火的主要原因。电力线在破坏房屋数据的野火中的发生率是没有房屋被破坏数据且雷电发生率的2倍的野火发生率的6倍。对于故意和因电力线引起的山火,与没有房屋的山火相比,在毁坏房屋的山火着火当天,温度,风速和森林火灾危险指数均显着较高,而相对湿度则显着较低(P \ u3c 0.05)。被摧毁了。对于所有因电力线引起的野火,被毁的第一所房屋总是在着火当天发生。相比之下,被烧毁的第一所房屋是在点燃当天因闪电引起的野火的78%。由闪电造成的摧毁房屋的野火的面积比由人为原因造成的摧毁房屋的野火的面积大得多(P <0.001)。我们的结果表明,针对着火原因制定防火策略,例如改善电力线安全性和有针对性的放火计划,以及减少火势蔓延,可能会减少破坏房屋的野火数量。

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