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The GEWEX LandFlux project: evaluation of model evaporation using tower-based and globally gridded forcing data

机译:GEWEX LandFlux项目:使用基于塔式和全局网格化的强迫数据评估模型蒸发

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摘要

Determining the spatial distribution and temporal development of evaporation at regional and global scales is required to improve our understanding of the coupled water and energy cycles and to better monitor any changes in observed trends and variability of linked hydrological processes. With recent international efforts guiding the development of long-term and globally distributed flux estimates, continued product assessments are required to inform upon the selection of suitable model structures and also to establish the appropriateness of these multi-model simulations for global application. In support of the objectives of the Global Energy and Water Cycle Exchanges (GEWEX) LandFlux project, four commonly used evaporation models are evaluated against data from tower-based eddy-covariance observations, distributed across a range of biomes and climate zones. The selected schemes include the Surface Energy Balance System (SEBS) approach, the Priestley–Taylor Jet Propulsion Laboratory (PT-JPL) model, the Penman–Monteith-based Mu model (PM-Mu) and the Global Land Evaporation Amsterdam Model (GLEAM). Here we seek to examine the fidelity of global evaporation simulations by examining the multi-model response to varying sources of forcing data. To do this, we perform parallel and collocated model simulations using tower-based data together with a global-scale grid-based forcing product. Through quantifying the multi-model response to high-quality tower data, a better understanding of the subsequent model response to the coarse-scale globally gridded data that underlies the LandFlux product can be obtained, while also providing a relative evaluation and assessment of model performance. Using surface flux observations from 45 globally distributed eddy-covariance stations as independent metrics of performance, the tower-based analysis indicated that PT-JPL provided the highest overall statistical performance (0.72; 61 W m; 0.65), followed closely by GLEAM (0.68; 64 W m; 0.62), with values in parentheses representing the , RMSD and Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), respectively. PM-Mu (0.51; 78 W m; 0.45) tended to underestimate fluxes, while SEBS (0.72; 101 W m; 0.24) overestimated values relative to observations. A focused analysis across specific biome types and climate zones showed considerable variability in the performance of all models, with no single model consistently able to outperform any other. Results also indicated that the global gridded data tended to reduce the performance for all of the studied models when compared to the tower data, likely a response to scale mismatch and issues related to forcing quality. Rather than relying on any single model simulation, the spatial and temporal variability at both the tower- and grid-scale highlighted the potential benefits of developing an ensemble or blended evaporation product for global-scale LandFlux applications. Challenges related to the robust assessment of the LandFlux product are also discussed.
机译:需要确定区域和全球尺度上蒸发的空间分布和时间发展,以增进我们对水和能量循环耦合的理解,并更好地监视相关水文过程的趋势和变化的任何变化。随着最近国际上的努力指导长期和全球分布的通量估计的发展,需要进行持续的产品评估,以选择合适的模型结构,并确定这些多模型仿真在全球范围内的适用性。为了支持全球能源和水循环交换(GEWEX)LandFlux项目的目标,根据分布在一系列生物群落和气候区的基于塔的涡度协方差观测数据,对四种常用的蒸发模型进行了评估。选择的方案包括地表能量平衡系统(SEBS)方法,Priestley-Taylor喷气推进实验室(PT-JPL)模型,基于Penman-Monteith的Mu模型(PM-Mu)和全球陆地蒸发阿姆斯特丹模型(GLEAM) )。在这里,我们试图通过检查对各种强迫数据源的多模型响应来检查全局蒸发模拟的保真度。为此,我们使用基于塔的数据以及基于全球网格的强制产品进行并行和并置模型仿真。通过量化对高质量塔式数据的多模型响应,可以更好地了解后续模型对基于LandFlux产品的粗略全局网格数据的响应,同时还可以对模型性能进行相对评估和评估。使用来自45个全球分布的涡-协方差站的表面通量观测值作为独立的性能指标,基于塔的分析表明PT-JPL提供了最高的总体统计性能(0.72; 61 W m; 0.65),其次是GLEAM(0.68) ; 64 W m; 0.62),括号中的值分别代表,RMSD和Nash–Sutcliffe效率(NSE)。 PM-Mu(0.51; 78 W m; 0.45)倾向于低估通量,而SEBS(0.72; 101 W m; 0.24)相对于观测值高估了值。对特定生物群落类型和气候区的集中分析显示,所有模型的性能都存在很大差异,没有一个模型能够始终胜过其他任何模型。结果还表明,与塔架数据相比,全局网格数据往往会降低所有研究模型的性能,这可能是对比例失配的响应以及与强迫质量有关的问题。塔式和网格级的空间和时间可变性都没有依赖任何单一模型的模拟,而是着重指出了为全球规模的LandFlux应用开发集成或混合蒸发产品的潜在优势。还讨论了与LandFlux产品的强大评估有关的挑战。

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