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Coupled chemistry climate model simulations of the solar cycle in ozone and temperature

机译:臭氧和温度下太阳循环的化学气候模型耦合模拟

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摘要

The 11-year solar cycles in ozone and temperature are examined using newsimulations of coupled chemistry climate models. The results show a secondary maximumin stratospheric tropical ozone, in agreement with satellite observations and in contrastwith most previously published simulations. The mean model response varies by upto about 2.5% in ozone and 0.8 K in temperature during a typical solar cycle, at the lowerend of the observed ranges of peak responses. Neither the upper atmospheric effectsof energetic particles nor the presence of the quasi biennial oscillation is necessaryto simulate the lower stratospheric response in the observed low latitude ozoneconcentration. Comparisons are also made between model simulations and observed totalcolumn ozone. As in previous studies, the model simulations agree well with observations.For those models which cover the full temporal range 1960–2005, the ozone solarsignal below 50 hPa changes substantially from the first two solar cycles to the last twosolar cycles. Further investigation suggests that this difference is due to an aliasingbetween the sea surface temperatures and the solar cycle during the first part of the period.The relationship between these results and the overall structure in the tropical solarozone response is discussed. Further understanding of solar processes requiresimprovement in the observations of the vertically varying and column integrated ozone.
机译:使用耦合化学气候模型的新模拟检查了11年的臭氧和温度太阳周期。结果表明,与卫星观测结果一致,并且与大多数以前发表的模拟结果相反,平流层热带臭氧具有次要的最大值。在典型的太阳周期中,平均模型响应在臭氧中的最大变化约为2.5%,在温度中的变化为0.8 K,处于观测到的峰值响应范围的下限。在观测到的低纬度臭氧浓度下,模拟低平流层的响应既不需要高能粒子的大气效应也不需要准两年一次的振荡。还对模型模拟与观察到的总柱臭氧进行了比较。与以前的研究一样,该模型模拟与观测结果吻合很好。对于那些覆盖整个1960-2005年时间范围的模型,低于50 hPa的臭氧太阳信号从前两个太阳周期到最后两个太阳周期发生了显着变化。进一步的研究表明,这种差异是由于在该时期的第一部分海表温度和太阳周期之间的混叠造成的。讨论了这些结果与热带日光臭氧反应整体结构之间的关系。对太阳过程的进一步了解需要改进垂直变化和柱整合臭氧的观测。

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