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Deterrence Dilemma in Latvia and Estonia: Finding the Balance between External Military Solidarity and Territorial Defence

机译:拉脱维亚和爱沙尼亚的威慑困境:发现外部军事团结和领土防御之间的平衡

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摘要

While potential threats from Russia and NATO collective defence commitments are similar for Latvia and Estonia, both countries have adopted different approaches in the balancing exercise between territorial defence and military solidarity. Notwithstanding their differences, both are by their nature fully non-aggressive – without room for pre-emptive initiatives, extra territoriality or asymmetrical tools. Given that in a case of a hypothetical large-scale conventional attack both countries would almost entirely have to rest on the allies, external military solidarity is essential. Until the Ukraine crisis, both offered more military solidarity towards their NATO allies than the latter offered to them. As the result of the Ukrainian crisis, allies became more military-solidary with the Baltic nations, especially having established the Enhanced Forward Presence, while Estonian and especially Latvian contributions to international missions and operations dropped. Therefore, it is suggested that both countries increase their efforts to the allied international endeavours.
机译:虽然拉脱维亚和爱沙尼亚的潜在威胁和北约集体辩护的威胁是类似的,但两国都采用了平衡行使在地域防御和军事团结之间的不同方法。尽管有所不同,但两者都是他们的性质完全非侵略性 - 没有售前的举措,额外的地区或不对称工具。鉴于在假设大规模常规攻击的情况下,两国几乎完全不必依靠盟友,外部军事团结是必不可少的。直到乌克兰危机,两者都向北约盟国提供了更多的军事团结,而不是后者提供给他们。由于乌克兰危机的结果,盟友与波罗的海国家变得更加军事,特别是已经建立了加强的前进存在,而爱沙尼亚人和特别是拉脱维亚对国际特派团和行动的贡献。因此,建议两国两国增加了盟军国际努力的努力。

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