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Reviewing Power Outage Trends, Electric Reliability Indices and Smart Grid Funding

机译:查看停电趋势,电力可靠性指标和智能电网资金

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摘要

As our electric power distribution infrastructure has aged, considerable investmenthas been applied to modernizing the electrical power grid through weatherizationand in deployment of real-time monitoring systems. A key question is whether or notthese investments are reducing the number and duration of power outages, leading toimproved reliability.Statistical methods are applied to analyze electrical disturbance data (from theDepartment of Energy, DOE) and reliability index data (from state utility public servicecommission regulators) to detect signs of improvement. The number of installedsmart meters provided by several utilities is used to determine whether the numberof smart meters correlate with a reduction in outage frequency.Indication emerged that the number of power outages may be decreasing overtime. The magnitude of power loss has decreased from 2003 to 2007, and behavescyclically from 2008 to 2014, with a few outlier points in both groups. The durationalso appears to be decreasing between 2003-2014.Large blackout events exceeding 5 GW continue to be rare, and certain poweroutage events are seasonally dependent. There was a linear relationship betweenthe number of customers and the magnitude of a power outage event. However, norelationship was found between the magnitude of power outages and time to restorepower. The frequency of outages maybe decreasing as the number of installed smartmeters has increased.Recommendations for inclusion of additional metrics, changes to formatting andsemantics of datasets currently provided by federal and state regulators are made tohelp aid researchers in performing more effective analysis. Confounding variables andlack of information that has made the analysis diffcult is also discussed.
机译:随着我们配电基础设施的老化,已通过风化和实时监控系统的部署对电网进行了现代化的大量投资。一个关键问题是这些投资是否减少了停电的次数和持续时间,从而提高了可靠性。采用统计方法来分析电气干扰数据(来自能源部,DOE)和可靠性指标数据(来自国家公用事业公共服务监管机构) )以发现改善的迹象。由多个公用事业公司提供的已安装智能电表的数量用于确定智能电表的数量是否与停电次数的减少相关。有迹象表明,停电的次数可能会随着时间的推移而减少。从2003年到2007年,功率损耗的幅度有所下降,从2008年到2014年,功率损耗的行为呈周期性变化,两组的异常值都有所不同。在2003年至2014年之间,持续时间似乎也在减少。超过5吉瓦的大型停电事件仍然很少见,某些停电事件与季节有关。客户数量与停电事件的严重程度之间存在线性关系。但是,断电的程度与恢复时间之间没有关系。随着安装的智能电表数量的增加,停电的频率可能会减少。联邦和州监管机构目前提供的建议包括附加指标,更改格式和数据集的语义,以帮助研究人员进行更有效的分析。还讨论了混杂变量和信息不足,这使分析变得困难。

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    Adderly Shawn;

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  • 年度 2016
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