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Proactive threat detection for connected cars using recursive Bayesian estimation

机译:使用递归贝叶斯估计对联网汽车进行主动威胁检测

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摘要

Upcoming disruptive technologies around autonomous driving of connected cars have not yet been matched with appropriate security by design principles and lack approaches to incorporate proactive preventative measures in the wake of increased cyber-threats against such systems. In this paper, we introduce proactive anomaly detection to a use-case of hijacked connected cars to improve cyber-resilience. Firstly, we manifest the opportunity of behavioural profiling for connected cars from recent literature covering related underpinning technologies. Then, we design and utilise a new dataset file for connected cars influenced by the Automatic Dependent Surveillance – Broadcast (ADS–B) surveillance technology used in the aerospace industry to facilitate data collection and sharing. Finally, we simulate the analysis of travel routes in real-time to predict anomalies using predictive modelling. Simulations show the applicability of a Bayesian estimation technique, namely Kalman Filter. With the analysis of future state predictions based on the previous behaviour, cyber-threats can be addressed with a vastly increased time-window for a reaction when encountering anomalies. We discuss that detecting real-time deviations for malicious intent with predictive profiling and behavioural algorithms can be superior in effectiveness than the retrospective comparison of known-good/known-bad behaviour. When quicker action can be taken while connected cars encounter cyber-attacks, more effective engagement or interception of command and control will be achieved.
机译:围绕联网汽车的自动驾驶即将来临的破坏性技术尚未通过设计原则与适当的安全性相匹配,并且在对此类系统的网络威胁日益严重之后,缺乏将主动预防措施纳入其中的方法。在本文中,我们将前瞻性异常检测引入到被劫持的联网汽车的用例中,以提高网络弹性。首先,我们从涵盖相关基础技术的最新文献中证明了联网汽车行为分析的机会。然后,我们为航空业使用的自动相关监视–广播(ADS–B)监视技术影响的互联汽车设计并利用了新的数据集文件,以促进数据收集和共享。最后,我们使用预测模型实时模拟旅行路线分析以预测异常。仿真显示了贝叶斯估计技术(即卡尔曼滤波器)的适用性。通过基于以前的行为对未来状态预测进行分析,可以在遇到异常情况时以大幅增加的响应时间来应对网络威胁。我们讨论使用预测分析和行为算法检测恶意意图的实时偏差,其有效性要优于对已知好/坏行为的回顾性比较。如果在联网汽车遇到网络攻击时可以更快地采取行动,则可以实现更有效的交战或指挥与控制的拦截。

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