Statistical Modeling of Spring Discharge at Apopka and Bugg Springs in Lake County, Florida. Special Publication SJ2007-SP8

摘要

The objective of this study is the development of daily spring discharge time series for Apopka and Bugg springs from an assortment of auxiliary data such as: (a) previously recorded spring discharge rates at the spring of interest and at adjacent springs, (b) groundwater level measurements from adjacent monitoring wells, (c) lake levels from nearby lake level gages and (c) rainfall data from nearby gauging stations. The study investigates and tests the applicability of the correlation structure between various data types, and test the applicability of simple multivariate linear models to generate daily discharge records based on these other variables for the common period of record. This report presents the results of data screening and preliminary statistical analysis for rainfall, groundwater and lake water level and spring discharge data for Apopka and Bugg springs. It also explores the use of empirical models to provide estimates of daily discharge at these springs.