Petroleum Resources of the Middle East. Foreign Energy Supply Assessment Program Series

摘要

This report contains an analysis of known and ultimately recoverable crude oil and natural gas resources in the following Persian Gulf states: The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, The State of Kuwait, The Islamic Republic of Iran, The Republic of Iraq, The United Arab Emirates: Sheidkom of Abu Dhabi, Sheikdom of Dubai, and Sheikdom of Sharjah, The Divided Neutral Zone (administered jointly by Saudi Arabia and Kuwait), The State of Qatar, The Sultanate of Oman, and the State of Bahrain. The rates that oil resources will likely be available to world markets are also covered in this report. A comprehensive analysis was made of the ultimately recoverable oil in 150 fields. This included all of the giant fields (63) and, with a few minor exceptions, all of the producing non-giant fields (46). It also included 41 non-producing fields. Analysis indicated that 547 billion barrels of ultimately recoverable oil was found in these fields. This would include 87 billion barrels of oil which will require advanced recovery techniques if the oil is to be extracted from the reservoirs. Excluding the 128 billion barrels of the known recoverable oil produced through 1981, the known recoverable oil remaining at year-end 1981 was about 419 billion barrels. If the average production during the 1990's remained the same as in the 1980's, the known resource base at the end of the 20th century would be reduced to 249 billion barrels or about a 29 year supply. Therefore, by the year 2000, over one-half of the total known oil resource base would be depleted, and production levels would of necessity decline as it would be difficult for the known fields to maintain an aggregate production level of 8.46 billion barrels per year. (ERA citation 08:044036)