Analysis of the Impact of Changes in the Officer Education System on the Army's Transient, Holdee, and Student Account

摘要

The United States Army is making changes in the Officer Education System (OES) for officers in the ranks between 2nd lieutenants and major. These changes affect the size of Transient, Holdee and Student account (THS). The current Officer Basic Course will change to a two-phased system called Basic Officer Leadership Course (BOLC II and III). A twenty-week Captains Career Course (CCC) will replace the current CCC and Combined Arms and Service Staff School (CAS3). Command and General Staff College (CGSC), which 50% of each year group attends in a resident status, will shift to a two-phased approach with a Common Core Course and a Career Field Qualification Course. This thesis describes the implementation of an Excel simulation model producing monthly predictions, for six years, of the number of officers in THS account because of schooling. Schooling assignments are Permanent Change of Station (PCS), Temporary Duty (TDY) Enroute, or TDY and Return. If 30% of majors attend Officer Education System as PCS or TDY Enroute, the THS account will see a man-year increase of between 166 and 552. If 30% of captains attend CCC as PCS or TDY enroute, the THS will show a man-year decrease of between 1162 and 1171. When the new BOLC education system was simulated, the THS account showed a man-year increase of between 172 and 242 over the current OBC.