Strategic Decision Games: Improving Strategic Intuition

摘要

Emerging research into how decisions are made in real-world situations indicates that they are made through a synthesis of analysis and intuition. Joint doctrine recognizes intuition but overwhelmingly emphasizes analytical methods. The joint community has ample guidance and receives training and education in support of analytical decision making. However, there is significantly less guidance, training, and education for intuitive decision making. Research has shown that the best preparation for intuitive decision making is relevant real-world experience and feedback. The nature of decision making at the strategic level of war makes gaining this experience problematic. Fortunately, decision making theory illuminates leverage points that can be used to enhance intuitive decision making expertise. Equally useful, practical methods demonstrated at the tactical level can be adapted to address this problem at the strategic level. Strategic decision games should be used to improve the national security professional's strategic intuition.