Global energy outlook to 2030

摘要

Global energy demand will continue to grow over the next 20 years, albeit at a slowing annual rate, fuelled by economic and population growth in non-OECD countries. Increased energy efficiency and strong growth for renewable energy are also forecast in BP's latest Energy Outlook 2030, published on 18 January. Global energy demand is likely to grow by 39% by 2030, or 1.6% annually, almost entirely in non-OECD countries; consumption in OECD countries is expected to rise by just 4% in total over the period. Global energy will remain dominated by fossil fuels, which are forecast to account for 81 % of global energy demand by 2030, BP forecasts, down about 6% from current levels. The period should also see increased fuel-switching, with more gas and renew-ables use at the expense of coal and oil.