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Relationship between Solar Energetic Particles and Properties of Flares and CMEs: Statistical Analysis of Solar Cycle 23 Events

机译:太阳高能粒子与火炬和CMEs特性之间的关系:太阳周期23事件的统计分析

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A statistical analysis of the relationship between solar energetic particles (SEPs) and properties of solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is presented. SEP events during Solar Cycle 23 are selected that are associated with solar flares originating in the visible hemisphere of the Sun and that are at least of magnitude M1. Taking into account all flares and CMEs that occurred during this period, the probability for the occurrence of an SEP event near Earth is determined. A strong rise of this probability is observed for increasing flare intensities, more western locations, higher CME speeds, and halo CMEs. The correlations between the proton peak flux and these solar parameters are derived for a low (> 10 MeV) and high (> 60 MeV) energy range excluding any flux enhancement due to the passage of fast interplanetary shocks. The obtained correlation coefficients are 0.55 +/- 0.07 (0.63 +/- 0.06) with flare intensity, and 0.56 +/- 0.08 (0.40 +/- 0.09) with CME speed for E > 10 MeV (E > 60 MeV). For both energy ranges, the correlations with flare longitude and CME width are very weak or non-existent. Furthermore, the occurrence probabilities, correlation coefficients, and mean peak fluxes are derived in multi-dimensional bins combining the aforementioned solar parameters. The correlation coefficients are also determined in different proton energy channels ranging from 5 to 200 MeV. The results show that the correlation between the proton peak flux and the CME speed decreases with energy, while the correlation with the flare intensity shows the opposite behaviour. Furthermore, the correlation with the CME speed is stronger than the correlation with the flare intensity below 15 MeV and becomes weaker above 20 MeV. When the enhancements in the flux profiles due to interplanetary shocks are not excluded, only a small but not very significant change is observed in the correlation coefficients between the proton peak flux below 7 MeV and the CME speed.
机译:提出了对太阳高能粒子(SEP)与太阳耀斑和日冕物质抛射(CME)之间的关系的统计分析。选择太阳周期23期间的SEP事件,这些事件与起源于太阳可见半球的太阳耀斑相关,并且至少为M1级。考虑到此期间发生的所有耀斑和CME,确定了在地球附近发生SEP事件的可能性。随着耀斑强度的增加,更多的西部位置,更高的CME速度和晕轮CME,这种可能性大大提高。对于低(> 10 MeV)和高(> 60 MeV)的能量范围,导出了质子峰值通量与这些太阳参数之间的相关性,但不包括由于快速行星际冲击的通过而导致的任何通量增强。对于E> 10 MeV(E> 60 MeV),在耀斑强度下获得的相关系数为0.55 +/- 0.07(0.63 +/- 0.06),在CME速度下为0.56 +/- 0.08(0.40 +/- 0.09)。对于这两个能量范围,与耀斑经度和CME宽度的相关性非常弱或不存在。此外,结合上述太阳参数在多维面元中推导了发生概率,相关系数和平均峰值通量。还可以在5到200 MeV的不同质子能量通道中确定相关系数。结果表明,质子峰通量与CME速度之间的相关性随能量而降低,而与耀斑强度的相关性则表现出相反的行为。此外,与CME速度的相关性强于与低于15 MeV的耀斑强度的相关性,而与高于20 MeV的耀斑强度的相关性弱。当不排除由于行星际激波引起的通量分布增强时,在低于7 MeV的质子峰通量与CME速度之间的相关系数中仅观察到很小但不是非常显着的变化。

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