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Assigning a probability density function for the value of a quantity based on discrete data: the resolution problem

机译:根据离散数据为数量的值分配概率密度函数:分辨率问题

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摘要

It often happens that knowledge about a particular quantity has to be reached by processing a series of resolution-limited indications. It is a well-established fact that if the variability of the data is large compared with the resolution interval, the effect of discretization can be ignored. Otherwise, it needs to be taken into account since it can then be an important source of uncertainty, sometimes more significant than randomness itself. The objective of this paper is to derive a probability density function (pdf) for the value of a quantity based on discretized data. This pdf allows the standard uncertainty associated with the best estimate of the quantity to be computed and, perhaps more importantly, it can be used as an input to evaluate a measurement model in which the quantity is involved. Bayesian concepts are used towards this goal. Although reaching an appropriate pdf has been attempted before, limited success has been attained, as the pdfs that have been obtained exhibit some undesirable characteristics. Herein a new approach is proposed. Unlike previous efforts, this time the quantity of interest is modelled as a sum of two other quantities, one that can only assume discrete values and the other that takes values within the resolution interval centred on zero. The resulting pdf exhibits a satisfactory behaviour, but further work would be required to provide firmer theoretical grounds for the employed prior.
机译:通常,必须通过处理一系列分辨率受限的指示来获得有关特定数量的知识。公认的事实是,如果数据的可变性与分辨率间隔相比较大,则离散化的影响可以忽略。否则,必须将其考虑在内,因为它可能成为不确定性的重要来源,有时甚至比随机性本身更为重要。本文的目的是基于离散化数据导出数量值的概率密度函数(pdf)。该pdf文件允许与要计算的最佳估计数量相关的标准不确定性,并且也许更重要的是,它可以用作评估涉及该数量的测量模型的输入。贝叶斯概念被用于实现该目标。尽管之前已经尝试达到适当的pdf,但是由于获得的pdf具有某些不良特性,因此只能取得有限的成功。本文提出了一种新的方法。与以前的工作不同,这次将感兴趣的数量建模为其他两个数量的总和,一个数量只能假设离散值,另一个数量可以在分辨率区间内以零为中心的值。生成的pdf表现出令人满意的行为,但是需要进一步的工作才能为所使用的现有技术提供更坚实的理论基础。

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