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De-synchronized clocks in preemption games with risky prospects

机译:具有风险前景的抢占式游戏中的非同步时钟

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摘要

We study an optimal timing decision problem where an agent endowed with a risky investment opportunity trades the benefits of waiting for additional information against a potential loss in first-mover advantage. The players' clocks are de-synchronized in that they learn of the investment opportunity at different times. Thus, the model captures situations where players are heterogeneous with respect to the amount of information that they possess at any instant. In this framework, previous literature has uncovered an inverted-U shaped relationship between a player's equilibrium expected expenditures and the measure of his competitors. This result no longer holds when the increase in the measure of players leads to a decrease in the degree of clock synchronization in the game. We show that the result reemerges if information arrives only at discrete times, and thus, a player's strategic beliefs are updated between decision times in a measurably meaningful way.
机译:我们研究了最佳时机决策问题,在该问题中,具有风险投资机会的代理商将等待额外信息的利益与先发优势的潜在损失进行了权衡。玩家的时钟不同步,因为他们在不同的时间了解投资机会。因此,该模型捕获了玩家在任何时候所拥有的信息量上都是异类的情况。在这种框架下,先前的文献揭示了玩家的均衡预期支出与其竞争对手的度量之间的倒U型关系。当玩家数量的增加导致游戏中时钟同步程度的降低时,此结果不再成立。我们表明,如果信息仅在不连续的时间到达,则结果会重新出现,因此,玩家的战略信念会在决策时间之间以可衡量的有意义的方式进行更新。

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