Statistical analysis of an earthquake-induced landslide distribution - the 1989 Loma Prieta, California event

摘要

The 1989 Loma Prieta, California earthquake (moment magnitude, M = 6.9) generated landslides throughout an area of about 15,000 km~2 in central California. Most of these landslides occurred in an area of about 2000 km~2 in the mountainous terrain around the epicenter, where they were mapped during field investigations immediately following the earthquake. The distribution of these landslides is investigated statistically, using regression and one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) techniques to determine how the occurrence of landslides correlates with distance from the earthquake source, slope steepness, and rock type. The landslide concentration (defined as the number of landslide sources per unit area) has a strong inverse correlation with distance from the earthquake source and a strong positive correlation with slope steepness. The landslide concentration differs substantially among the various geologic units in the area. The differences correlate to some degree with differences in lithology and degree of induration, but this correlation is less clear, suggesting a more complex relationship between landslide occurrence and rock properties.