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LEARNING WHILE VOTING: DETERMINANTS OF COLLECTIVE EXPERIMENTATION

机译:投票时学习:集体实验的决定因素

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摘要

This paper combines dynamic social choice and strategic experimentation to study the following question: How does a society, a committee, or, more generally, a group of individuals with potentially heterogeneous preferences, experiment with new opportunities? Each voter recognizes that, during experimentation, other voters also learn about their preferences. As a result, pivotal voters today are biased against experimentation because it reduces their likelihood of remaining pivotal. This phenomenon reduces equilibrium experimentation below the socially efficient level, and may even result in a negative option value of experimentation. However, one can restore efficiency by designing a voting rule that depends deterministically on time. Another mainresult is that even when payoffs of a reform are independently distributed across the population, good news about any individual's payoff increases other individuals' incentives to experiment with that reform, due to a positive voting externality.
机译:本文结合了动态的社会选择和战略实验来研究以下问题:一个具有潜在异质偏好的社会,委员会,或者更广泛地说,是一群人如何尝试新的机会?每个投票者都认识到,在试验期间,其他投票者也了解他们的偏好。结果,当今的关键选民对实验持偏见,因为这降低了他们保持关键地位的可能性。这种现象将均衡实验降低到社会有效水平以下,甚至可能导致实验的负选择价值。但是,可以通过设计确定性地取决于时间的投票规则来恢复效率。另一个主要结果是,即使一项改革的收益独立地分布在整个人群中,由于积极的投票外部性,任何人的收益的好消息也会增加其他人尝试该改革的动机。

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