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Robust wald tests in SUR systems with adding-up restrictions

机译:具有附加限制的SUR系统中的鲁棒瓦尔德测试

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摘要

For SUR systems with adding-up restrictions, it is well known that the covariance matrix of disturbances is singular. The usual approach to hypothesis testing in such cases is to construct the relevant test statistics after deleting an equation. A common application of this approach is in the context of complete demand systems where the sum of expenditure shares must equal one. Barten (1969) considered the maximum likelihood estimation of such a system of equations with independent and identical normal disturbance vectors. He proved that the value of the likelihood function, and hence, the maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters are invariant to the equation deleted. This, in turn, implies that the value of the likelihood ratio statistic for testing linear restrictions on the coefficients is invariant to the equation deleted. Similarly, McGuire, Farley, Lucas, and Ring (1968) and Powell (1969) considered the Generalized Least Squares (GLS) estimation of a system of demand equations. Under the assumption that the covariance matrix of the stacked disturbance vector is known, they showed that the GLS estimator and the corresponding quadratic form are invariant to the equation deleted. Estimation and testing have been extended to SUR systems with specific forms of heteroskedasticity and/or autocorrelations; see, for instance, Mandy and Martins-Filho (1993) and Berndt and Savin (1975).
机译:对于具有加总限制的SUR系统,众所周知,扰动的协方差矩阵是奇异的。在这种情况下,进行假设检验的通常方法是在删除方程后构造相关的检验统计量。这种方法的常见应用是在完整的需求系统中,其中支出份额之和必须等于1。 Barten(1969)考虑了具有独立且相同的法向干扰矢量的方程组的最大似然估计。他证明了似然函数的值以及因此参数的最大似然估计对于删除的方程式是不变的。这进而意味着,用于测试系数线性限制的似然比统计量的值对于删除的方程式是不变的。同样,McGuire,Farley,Lucas和Ring(1968)和Powell(1969)考虑了需求方程系统的广义最小二乘(GLS)估计。在已知堆叠干扰向量的协方差矩阵的假设下,他们表明GLS估计量和相应的二次形式对于删除的方程是不变的。估计和测试已扩展到具有特定形式的异方差和/或自相关的SUR系统。参见,例如,Mandy和Martins-Filho(1993)以及Berndt和Savin(1975)。

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