Comprehensive analysis of the climate variability in the eastern Mediterranean. Part I: map-pattern classification

摘要

This paper provides an extended study of the dominant daily circulation patterns governing the climate variability in the eastern Mediterranean. The methodology adopted to determine the circulation patterns is based on combined analysis of the spatial and temporal variation of rotated principal components of sea-level pressure. A catalogue of characteristic seasonal composites is presented and discussed. It is found that, during winter and spring, large scale features situated in northern Europe affect the atmospheric circulation over the domain of study, whereas the Atlantic (Azores) anticyclone and the Asian Thermal Low define most of the observed circulation types in summer. In autumn, the area exhibits a rapid transition from the warm to cold season showing climatic features from both extreme seasons. Similarities between winter and spring/autumn patterns are detected and correlation analyses are employed between their spatial patterns to reveal that similar circulation patterns occur amongst the three seasons, which usually appear more pronounced during winter. Frequencies and trends of the proposed circulation types are examined for each season. A linear trend analysis for the overall period (1958-2000) exhibits a significant increase in the anticyclonic types particularly in winter. With respect to the cyclonic types, statistically significant negative trends have been found in all seasons especially for types associated with depressional activity in central the Mediterranean. Copyright (C) 2007 Royal Meteorological Society