PI-SIGMA NEURAL NETWORK FOR A ONE-STEP-AHEAD TEMPERATURE FORECASTING

摘要

The main purpose of this study is to employ Pi-Sigma Neural Network (PSNN) for one-step-ahead temperature forecasting. In this paper, we evaluate the performances of PSNN by comparing the network model with widely used Multilayer Perceptron (MLP). PSNN which is a class of Higher Order Neural Networks (HONN), has a highly regular structure, needs much smaller number of weights and less training time. The PSNN is use to overcome the drawbacks of MLP, which can easily trapped into local minima and prone to overfit. Both network models were trained with standard backpropagation algorithm. Through 1012 experiments, it has been demonstrated that the PSNN has a high practicability and better temperature forecasting for one-step-ahead using historical temperature data of Batu Pahat region.