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A Dynamic Model for Evaluating the Impact of FDI on Macro Economy based on Panel Data Method

机译:基于面板数据法的外国直接投资对宏观经济影响评估的动态模型

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摘要

Capital account opening will cause complex economic consequences, domestic researches generally thought Open FDI Strategy usually has significantly positive effects. Capital account will bring domestic economic growth instability whether completely open, or part to open. This paper draw lessons from other country's experience and analyze how Open FDI Strategy can influence real exchange rate and the fluctuation of economic growth. According to the result of dynamic model, FDI does not cause the fluctuations of real exchange rate, but can cause the instability of domestic economic growth, the empirical results of this paper fully comply with this prediction.
机译:资本账户开放将带来复杂的经济后果,国内研究普遍认为,开放外国直接投资战略通常具有明显的积极影响。资本账户无论是完全开放还是部分开放都会带来国内经济增长的不稳定。本文借鉴其他国家的经验教训,分析开放外国直接投资战略如何影响实际汇率和经济增长的波动。根据动态模型的结果,FDI不会引起实际汇率的波动,但会引起国内经济增长的不稳定性,本文的实证结果完全符合这一预测。

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