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On a closed-form doubly robust estimator of the adjusted odds ratio for a binary exposure

机译:关于二元曝光的调整后的优势比的封闭形式双稳健估计

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摘要

Epidemiologic studies often aim to estimate the odds ratio for the association between a binary exposure and a binary disease outcome. Because confounding bias is of serious concern in observational studies, investigators typically estimate the adjusted odds ratio in a multivariate logistic regression which conditions on a large number of potential confounders. It is well known that modeling error in specification of the confounders can lead to substantial bias in the adjusted odds ratio for exposure. As a remedy, Tchetgen Tchetgen et al. (Biometrika. 2010;97(1):171-180) recently developed so-called doubly robust estimators of an adjusted odds ratio by carefully combining standard logistic regression with reverse regression analysis, in which exposure is the dependent variable and both the outcome and the confounders are the independent variables. Double robustness implies that only one of the 2 modeling strategies needs to be correct in order to make valid inferences about the odds ratio parameter. In this paper, I aim to introduce this recent methodology into the epidemiologic literature by presenting a simple closed-form doubly robust estimator of the adjusted odds ratio for a binary exposure. A SAS macro (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, North Carolina) is given in an online appendix to facilitate use of the approach in routine epidemiologic practice, and a simulated data example is also provided for the purpose of illustration.
机译:流行病学研究通常旨在估计二元接触和二元疾病结果之间关联的优势比。由于混杂偏差在观察研究中受到严重关注,因此研究人员通常会在多因素logistic回归中估算调整后的优势比,而回归分析以大量潜在的混杂因素为条件。众所周知,混杂因素规格中的建模误差会导致曝光的调整后的优势比出现重大偏差。作为补救措施,Tchetgen Tchetgen等人。 (Biometrika。2010; 97(1):171-180)最近通过将标准logistic回归与反向回归分析仔细结合而开发了所谓的经调整比值比的双稳健估计量,其中暴露是因变量,而结果和混杂因素是自变量。双重鲁棒性意味着只有两种建模策略中的一种才需要正确,以便对比值比参数进行有效推断。在本文中,我旨在通过介绍一种简单的封闭式双稳健估计器(针对二元暴露的调整后优势比),将这种最新方法引入流行病学文献中。在线附录中提供了一个SAS宏(SAS Institute Inc.,北卡罗来纳州卡里),以促进该方法在常规流行病学实践中的使用,并且还提供了一个模拟数据示例以用于说明。

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