International Trade's Contributions to the United States Forest Sector and Its Import-Export Chain

摘要

We determined the economic contributions international trade provided the forest-sector import-export chain (FSIEC) in 2016. We modified a ready-made Impact Analysis for Planning model to elucidate trade activities with China, Canada and Mexico (NAFTA), the European Union (EU), and all other countries using data obtained from the USDC Census Bureau's USA Trade Online database. Forest-sector exports totaled US$30.6 billion, whereas distributional activities associated with foreign trade were valued at US$8.86 billion. Direct contributions of the collective FSIEC summed to US$39.5 in output, US$14.0 billion in value added, and 133,400 jobs supported. Multiplier effects pushed total FSIEC contributions to US$110.1 billion in output, US$48.6 billion in value added, and 492,500 jobs. Trade with NAFTA comprised the greatest proportion of FSIEC contributions. Interestingly, importing comprised 8-10 percent of total contributions. This highlighted holistically the potential implications of trade policy revisions with not only the forest sector but also allied industries.