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The Decline of the American Middle Class: Evidence from the Consumer Expenditure Surveys 1988-2015

机译:美国中产阶级的衰落:来自消费者支出调查的证据1988 - 2015年

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摘要

In 2010, the US Department of Commerce, commissioned by the White House Middle Class Task Force, recommended six indicators that define the middle class: having one's own home, a car or two in the carport, taking a family vacation every year, sending kids to college, and having some retirement savings. We used the Consumer Expenditure Survey (CE) data to estimate the size of American middle class in selected years from 1988 to 2015 using three empirical variations of this definition and to test if there were upward or downward trends during these years. We found that the size of the American middle class was definitely on the decline between 1988 and 2015 for all three definitions. Multivariate analyses show that variations in total household annual expenditure and sociodemographic variables could not explain the decline. In fact, adjusting for these controls made the decline of the middle class over time more severe.
机译:2010年,美国商务部由白宫中产阶级任务队委托,推荐六个指标定义中产阶级:拥有自己的家,汽车或两大车库,每年都在家庭度假,送孩子 到大学,并有一些退休储蓄。 我们利用了消费者支出调查(CE)数据来估计从1988年到2015年选定的年度的美国中产阶级的大小,使用这一定义的三个经验变化,并在这些年内有向上或向下趋势测试。 我们发现,美国中产阶级的规模肯定是1988年至2015年间三个定义的下降。 多变量分析表明,家庭总费用和社会渗透变量的变化无法解释下降。 事实上,调整这些控制使中产阶级随着时间的推移而变得更严重。

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