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Cost‐minimisation analysis of home care reablement for older people in England: A modelling study

机译:英格兰老年人家庭护理的成本最小化分析:建模研究

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Abstract Many governments have introduced or encouraged home‐care reablement schemes for older people at home with the aim of improving outcomes and reducing costs. We examined if such schemes have the potential to reduce costs from the perspective of the National Health Service (NHS) and Personal Social Services (PSS) in England. Our study was carried out to inform recommendations of a national guideline . Cost‐minimisation analysis was carried out using decision‐analytic Markov modelling. Home‐care reablement was compared with standard home care. Costs included those of the intervention, home care and hospital admission. Uncertainty was explored using univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Mean costs per person were £56,499 (95% confidence interval 55,690 to 57,307) in the reablement group, and £58,560 (95% confidence interval 57,800 to 59,319) in the standard care group. The mean difference was ‐£2,061 (95% confidence interval 1,933 to 2,129). The probability that home‐care reablement costs less than standard home care was 94.5% (95% confidence interval 93.1 to 95.9). In sensitivity analyses, this probability remained above 85% in all scenarios. Home‐care reablement can be a successful cost‐minimisation strategy for supporting some older people. More research is needed about the impact of home‐care reablement on health outcomes for different groups of older people; and the effects of different durations of reablement on outcomes and costs for different subpopulations.
机译:摘要许多政府向家庭的老年人推出或鼓励家庭护理雷保计划,其目的是提高结果和降低成本。我们审查了如果这些计划有可能从国家卫生服务(NHS)和英国个人社会服务(PSS)的角度来降低成本。我们的研究是向国家指南推荐的推荐。使用决策分析马尔可夫建模进行了成本最小化分析。与标准家庭护理进行比较家庭护理更新。成本包括干预,家庭护理和医院入学。利用单变量和概率敏感性分析探索不确定性。妊娠组每人的平均成本为56,499英镑(95%的置信区间55,690至57,307),标准护理组中的58,560英镑(95%置信区间57,800至59,319英镑)。平均差异为-2,061英镑(95%置信区间1,933至2,129)。家庭护理凝聚成本低于标准家庭护理的概率为94.5%(95%置信区间93.1至95.9)。在敏感性分析中,在所有场景中,这种概率仍然高于85%。家庭护理凝聚可以是支持一些老年人的成功成本最小化策略。需要更多研究对家庭护理凝聚对不同群体的健康结果的影响;以及不同凝聚对不同群体的结果和成本的影响。

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